Rankings/Calculator
Challenge calculator
A Monte Carlo simulation of a prop firm challenge from your own win rate and reward:risk. It runs 5,000 simulated challenges at each risk level and shows which risk per trade gives the lowest expected cost to pass.
Simulation, not a prediction or advice. Results come from a simplified random model of your inputs: fixed risk per trade, independent trades, no fees, spreads, slippage, news, consistency or minimum-day rules. Real results differ. Most traders do not pass challenges, and passing does not mean you will earn payouts. Nothing here is a promise of profit.
Set your inputs and run the simulation.
You will get the pass rate at each risk level from 0.25% to 3%, the risk with the lowest expected cost, and the budget that covers 90% of outcomes.
Real challenges with similar rules
Same number of phases, targets within ±2 points and max drawdown within ±2 points of your inputs. Sorted by closeness, not by any payment.
| Firm · program | Type | Target | Max DD | DD type | Daily | From | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Guardian2 Step Nano | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 3% | $66.66 | Source |
| Crypto Fund Trader2-Phase Evaluation | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | — | Source |
| FintokeiProTrader | 2-Step | 8% / 6% | 10% | — | 5% | — | Source |
| FintokeiProTrader Swing | 2-Step | 8% / 6% | 10% | Balance-based | 5% | — | Source |
| FundedNextStellar 2-Step | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | $59.99 | Source |
| FundingPips2-Step Standard | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | $39 | Source |
| Hola Prime2-Step Pro | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | — | Source |
| Hola Prime2-Step Prime | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | — | Source |
| Instant FundingTwo-Phase | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | — | Source |
| Top One Trader2-Step Pro V2 | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 9% | Static | 4% | — | Source |
| Alpha Capital GroupAlpha Pro 8% | 2-Step | 8% / 5% | 8% | Static | 4% | $77 | Source |
| Alpha Capital GroupAlpha Pro 10% | 2-Step | 10% / 5% | 10% | Static | 5% | $50 | Source |
How the simulation works
- Each trade risks a fixed % of the starting balance. It wins with your win rate and gains risk × reward:risk, otherwise it loses the risk.
- A phase passes when the balance reaches the target and fails when it touches the max drawdown floor or the daily loss limit, or when it runs out of trades.
- Static drawdown: the floor is fixed at the starting balance minus the max drawdown. Trailing: the floor follows the highest balance and stops at the starting balance. EOD: like trailing, but the high is only updated at the end of each simulated day.
- Expected cost = fee ÷ pass rate (the average spend if you buy a new challenge after each failure). The 90% budget is the fee times the number of attempts after which 90% of simulated traders would have passed once.
- Not modelled: commissions, spreads, slippage, minimum trading days, consistency rules, news restrictions, discounts, refunds and resets. Your real win rate and reward:risk also change under pressure.